#nikki haley presidential

[worldnewsforus11]

Trump's election tampering trial has been postponed indefinitely by a fe...

[lilithism1848]

[justinspoliticalcorner]

Jonathan Cohn at HuffPost:

Election Day is Tuesday. And while plenty of politicos and pundits are out there predicting what will happen, the reality is that … nobody knows. The polls are super close, nationally and in the swing states. Forecasting models see the race as a coin flip. But you can spot some clear storylines that say a lot about how the two presidential campaigns have unfolded so far, and that might even help explain the outcome after the fact. One of those storylines is the determination and enthusiasm of women who back Democrat Kamala Harris, including women who might be afraid to say so publicly because their husbands support Republican Donald Trump.

I first heard about this last week, in Michigan, while covering a campaign event for Democratic Senate candidate Elissa Slotkin. Slotkin said canvassers were reporting stops at houses with large Trump signs, where women would answer and ― when asked which candidate they were supporting ― would quietly point to a photo of Harris on the canvassers’ campaign literature. [...]

And though the movement appears to have started on its own and spread over social media, lately the underlying sentiment has been getting high-profile support from figures like former first lady Michelle Obama, who in a recent Harris campaign appearance said, “If you are a woman who lives in a household of men that don’t listen to you or value your opinion, just remember that your vote is a private matter.” Are there enough hidden votes to change who wins a state? Probably not. But the emotional fuel for it, the determination of so many women to elect Harris over Trump, absolutely could prove decisive. If that happens, it would be one of the more ironic twists in modern political history ― and one of the more fitting ones, too ― because a campaign pitting men against women is exactly the campaign Trump and his advisers wanted.

The Boys vs. Girls Election

It’s no secret that this year’s gender gap is shaping up to be the largest in memory, with polls showing men favoring Trump by double digits, and women favoring Harris by a similar margin. In many ways, that gap was preordained not because of who’s on the ballot, but what’s at stake ― the future of reproductive freedom, and one side that’s actively pushing to regress back toward restrictive gender roles and limited rights. But instead of trying to counter that, Trump has leaned in. On the eve of this summer’s Republican National Convention, even before President Joe Biden dropped his reelection bid and Harris became their party’s nominee, Trump campaign officials boasted about how they were hoping to create what Axios called a “boys vs. girls election,” with ”Donald Trump’s chest-beating macho appeals vs. Joe Biden’s softer, reproductive-rights-dominated, all-gender inclusivity.”

So powerful was this appeal, Trump’s campaign managers told The Atlantic’s Tim Alberta, that Trump would manage to peel off some of the Black and Hispanic men who would traditionally vote Democratic, enough to offset losses among women. “For every Karen we lose, we’re going to win a Jamal and an Enrique,” one Trump ally had previously told Alberta. The Trump campaign has unfolded just as his team promised ― which helps explain why, for example, Trump has spent the final weeks before the election appearing alongside former Fox News host Tucker Carlson (who recently suggested that the country needed Trump to be a “dad” who would deliver a “spanking”) while sidelining former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (who has been popular with independent female voters). And the strategy may very well work. Polls have shown Harris struggling to hit the margins among Black and (especially) Hispanic men that previous Democrats have.

But the Trump gambit depends on winning over more men faster than he alienates women. And that’s hardly a safe bet. In just the last few years, the gender gap has been increasing at a faster pace than before, as my colleague Lilli Petersen explained recently.

[...]

The Backlash And Its Potential

How is this all shaking out?

Overall, according to a recent Politico analysis, women are accounting for 55% of the early vote across battleground states. And in Pennsylvania, a state that many strategists consider the most important for each candidate, data suggests that early voting includes a relatively high proportion of Democratic women who did not vote there in 2020. Early voting is a notoriously unreliable predictor of outcomes, for the simple reason that the data about who is voting doesn’t say that much about how they are voting, especially in an environment without solid baselines for comparison. Early voting did not become particularly widespread until 2020, in the middle of the COVID-19 pandemic and with Trump advising his supporters not to vote by mail. (This year, he’s generally encouraged them to vote early if they can.) But women are a larger proportion of the population and, historically, they have voted at higher rates too. Last month, political scientist and Brookings senior fellow Elaine Kamarck ran the numbers on different scenarios to see what would happen if women came out to vote in the same proportion as in 2020, given the latest polling numbers available. She found Harris would win Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — enough to win the election.

Donald Trump got his wish of this election being fought on gender roles and reproductive freedom... but it won't turn out like how he wanted it to go.

Read the full story at HuffPost.

[tomorrowusa]

« Trump won’t just go away; he'll have to be defeated. And Haley can’t defeat him because she has no answer for the central problem: She needs the support of a group of voters who are religiously devoted to him.

However, I do believe that the longer she stays in the race, the more damage she’ll do to Trump’s bid.

[ … ]

It's probably not her intention, but Haley is providing a service to the nation: a soft launch of reminding voters that Trump is a chaos agent of the highest order who put the nation through a dizzying series of unnecessary crucibles that tested the very durability of our institutions and our ability to withstand his anti-democratic onslaught.

Haley has begun to do the work that Biden and his campaign team will greatly expand on — if they're smart. »

— Charles M. Blow writing in the New York Times.

For some bizarre reason, candidates for the GOP presidential nomination thought they could make headway without criticizing the deeply flawed frontrunner.

When Nikki Haley belatedly started slamming Trump, the public attention devoted to her campaign shot up. It's certainly too late to do her much good, but her attacks on Trump do increase the possibility of him responding in such a way that women voters would find offensive.

If Trump loses this year, the GOP will be in shambles. If the party doesn't disintegrate like the Whigs, it will be looking to somebody who was not tied too closely to Trump. By publicly creating some space between herself and The Orange One, Nikki Haley could be looking ahead to 2028.

In the meantime, the more people attacking Trump from different directions – the better. There's already some indication that Biden, or at least his surrogates, are stepping up attacks on Trump's economic record. Reminding voters that Trump's fumbling of the early pandemic response led to economic meltdown should get more emphasis.

[kirbylover34]

wake the fuck up.

trump just stated in an interview on live tv quote "Let's put her with a rifle standing there with 9 barrels shooting at her. Let's see how she feels about it. You know, when the guns are trained on her face." No in context he was saying that along the lines of Liz Cheney not being in a war, but that statement, that one fucking sentence, fills me with primal fear, it could be rhetorical, or it could be a threat. I don’t give a shit if you hate Harris on the Palestinian conflict. vote for her, if you don’t, women will lose their rights, people will lose jobs, immigrant families will be separated and put into camps. Palestinians will still die, civil service workers will get replaced by MAGA loyalists, he will have immunity per the Supreme Court ruling, swallow your pride for just this once and make sure this horrible horrible creature, never has influence over us again, do that for me and everyone else in the free world. We have only one chance.

[william-r-melich]

Nikki Go Home - 02/26/2024

Donald Trump defeated Nikki Haley again, and she won't go home. Trump won by 20 points over Haley in South Carolina's Republican Primary on Saturday, February 24th, 59% to 39%. She's still committed to staying at least through Super Tuesday, March 5th. She recently lost a big donor, Koch. Others may follow suit, but as long as she keeps getting enough support to keep going, it appears that she'll just keep on humiliating herself. She's become the democrats' darling, staying in to detract from Trump's funds and focus from defeating Joe Biden, or whoever they might throw in there at some point leading up to the Democratic National Convention in Chicago this August. She's becoming an annoying distraction to Trump and the MAGA Republicans, and her condescending attitude makes her actions even more repulsive, in my opinion. The republicans need to unite behind Trump, which most of them are, there's just a few swampy Rhino's and a political whore (I don't want to mention any names, but her initials are Nikki Haley.) putting up a few roadblocks and detours. This will only slow Trump down. Barring a conviction or some other unfortunate, tragic occurrence, I'm convinced that Trump will be the next POTUS. I and many others are still waiting on the US Supreme Court to weigh in on the presidential immunity aspect related to the January 6 protest which was not an insurrection. The fact that Trump was never charged with an insurrection should make presidential immunity irrelevant anyway. Trump is right, all these cases against him are the left's attempt at election interference. Mark my words, it won't work. It's all so crazy and banana republic, 3rd world communist-like tactics being implemented by this corrupt, bass-akwards nightmare of an administration. Nikki Haley has gone nuts too, but she needs to give it up, go home and either stay out of the way or jump on the Trump bandwagon.

[phoenixyfriend]

Sounds like Nikki Haley is dropping out, btw

My guess is that she wanted that one definite win (Vermont) so that if Trump goes down for criminal charges or health reasons (I'm holding out for the McDs to catch up to him, personally), she's the only one with the delegates to claim his spot.

[sbrown82]

If this white woman dipped in turmeric don’t go sit her ass down!!! 🤔🤬

[head-post]

Biden and Trump end primary election season with easy victories in 4 states

US incumbent President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump easily won Tuesday’s primary election in the states of Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

It was Trump’s first appearance on the ballot since he faced a historic hush money trial in New York last week. The former president won uncontested in New Jersey with 98% of the vote. Biden also won in New Jersey with an easy 88% of the vote, although nearly 9% of voters checked the “uncommitted” box at the polls.

Trump won New Mexico with 84 per cent of the vote, where voters could still vote for rivals who had dropped out of the Republican presidential race. Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, who ended her presidential campaign in March and announced a fortnight ago that she would vote for Trump in the November 5 presidential election, still won nearly 9% of the vote in New Mexico. Biden, meanwhile, got 84% in New Mexico, but again lost 9% to the “uncommitted” ballot option.

Trump won the Montana primary with 87% of the vote, but lost 10% of the vote to the “no preference” option. Biden won 91% of the vote there.

Biden won a majority of the vote in South Dakota with 73 per cent. But he lost 12 per cent of the vote to little-known challenger Marianne Williamson and 11 per cent of the vote to Minnesota Congressman Dean Phillips, another prominent Democratic candidate. Trump, meanwhile, was the only Republican candidate in South Dakota and was declared the winner by that state’s Republican Party.

There was also a Democratic Party primary in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday, which Biden won with 87 per cent of the vote.

There are only a few contests left before the primary election season is over. However, these elections are merely a formality, as both Biden and Trump have long since secured the necessary number of delegates needed to secure their parties’ nominations.

Trump now has 2,243 delegates, nearly double the required 1,215 delegates. He will officially accept his party’s nomination at the Republican Party National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, which will be held from July 15 to 18.

Biden, meanwhile, has 3,864 delegates, which is also nearly double the required 1,968 delegates. He will officially receive his party’s nomination at the Democratic Party National Convention in Chicago, Illinois, which will be held August 19-22.

Read more HERE

[dontmean2bepoliticalbut]

[jessica-marie-baumgartner]

Bout time

[justinspoliticalcorner]

Kaili Joy Gray at Daily Kos:

Nikki Haley had a nice run as the anti-Trump candidate in the Republican primary. She was so good at it, she continued to get a big chunk of votes even after she dropped out. And she got so much praise for refusing to bow to the MAGA cult.

But that’s all over now because Haley has joined the bend-the-knee club and endorsed the candidate she called “unstable and unhinged.” During a conversation at the Hudson Institute on Wednesday, Haley claimed that despite everything she said about Trump, President Joe Biden is somehow worse. “So I will be voting for Trump,” she said. “Having said that, I stand by what I said in my suspension speech. Trump would be smart to reach out to the millions of people who voted for me and continue to support me and not assume that they’re just going to be with him. And I genuinely hope he does that.” [...] So what’s changed? Maybe it's just Haley's concerns for her own political future and a realization—rightly or wrongly—that the only way to have one is to, like the rest of the GOP cult, kiss the ring. The same ring she insisted in February she had no need to smooch.

Nikki Haley doing the cowardly act of backing Donald Trump in the general after calling him unstable and unhinged during the later stages of the primary in order to secure her GOP future.

[tomorrowusa]

Three of Trump's rivals for the GOP nomination say they would pardon Trump for his crimes if they get elected president.

The leading candidate for the Republican presidential nomination faces 91 criminal charges, nearly half of which are at the federal level. And yet his two main GOP rivals have said they would pardon him if they’re elected. [ ... ] While campaigning in the days leading up to the first votes of 2024’s Republican primary elections, Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley have both signalled they would grant clemency to the former president because it would be in the nation’s “interest” to do so. [ ... ] Republican officials and Mr Trump’s GOP rivals for the 2024 nomination have largely rushed to his defence after his indictments. Vivek Ramaswamy pledged to pardon Mr Trump shortly after he was federally indicted in the Mar-a-Lago case. [ ... ] Pardoning him would merely prove that the US does have “two systems of justice,” GOP rival Chris Christie told supporters in New Hampshire last week. But not the kind that Mr Trump believes. “One for all of us and one for the most powerful,” Mr Christie said. “If we allow that to happen as a country, we would be no better – no better – than a lot of these tin-pot democracies around the world who treat the privileged different than they treat everyday citizens.”

Asa Hutchinson, who is technically still in the race, reasserted that he would not pardon Trump.

Republican Asa Hutchinson won't pardon Trump if he's convicted

So here's the GOP Trump pardon scoreboard...

It's worth noting that President Gerald Ford gave a full pardon to Richard Nixon a month after he succeeded the disgraced Nixon. The pardon was highly unpopular and was likely a factor in Ford's narrow defeat by Democrat Jimmy Carter in the 1976 election.

Pardons for Trump might play well with the MAGA base but would be much less popular with the broader public.

[mxescargot]

nikki haley sweep in my heart ok

[william-r-melich]

A Big, Expected Win for Trump - 03/04/2024

The U.S. Supreme Court ruled 9 - 0 to reverse the Colorado's supreme court ruling to remove Trump from the presidential primary election ballot. They determined that an individual state cannot remove a candidate for national office based on section 3 of the 14th amendment. Next up is the presidential immunity case in which oral arguments will be heard by SCOTUS beginning on April 22nd. Trump should win that one too, but I wouldn't count on it. I never thought they would rule Obama care constitutional, but unfortunately, they did, which made health insurance premium rates at least double in cost. I'll never forget judge Robert's twisted reasoning of saying that it's not a tax, but you can call it a tax, what the heck? Of course, Trump ran the table again in the latest primaries except for losing D.C.'s which is really a win for Trump and comes as a badge of honor, obviously because Washington D.C. is over 90% liberal democrats who vehemently hate Trump. Tomorrow is super Tuesday with 16 states, Guam, and 865 delegates up for grabs. Right now, Trump has 244 of the 1,215 delegates needed to secure the nomination. Nikkie Haley has 43, Ron DeSantis who dropped from the race on January 21st has 9, and Vivek Ramaswamy who dropped on January 15th has 3. The rest have zero. I'll be holding my breath (so to speak) from April 22nd onward, probably until sometime in June or July when SCOTUS rules on the presidential immunity appeals case. If they rule in favor of Trump having immunity while he was president, that'll throw the proverbial monkey wrench on all the charges against him relating to the January 6 Capitol breach which really was mostly peaceful and definitely not an insurrection. I hope for the sake of truth and goodness that the judges will have the wisdom and courage to uphold the constitution by ruling in Trump's favor, thus recognizing the immunity that he and every other president has had. As always, time will tell...